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Monday, April 03, 2006

Timing Market Turns 8 - 04/03/2006

Market Timing - posted at 2320 EST

Swing trade - 100% long positions; stop for all positions to SPX 1290.

Investor core - 100% long positions; stop for all positions to SPX 1290.


At 1558, the downward structure appears nearly complete. Tomorrow may finish the gap closing movement.


We are still pointed to the 11th of this month for a high. This trade is only 4 days in length but may have ground some swing traders into mush by now. The next three days will show the path of the structure building here won't it. We will still take tea and a scone after the markets close.

What has not happened is new lows being confirmed, giving us an indication that we are wrong. The predicted turn today at the noon locus was precisely called for as the retail buyers became exhausted. Look at the volume measures during the morning against the afternoon session.

The next four months -

I have been preparing a follow on article to the January 9th article. This will be similarly titled as a Brief History of the next four months. This time I will cover many more markets than just equity indexes. We hope that it will be as accurate as the previous forecast. We will cover U.S. Treasuries, precious metals, crude oil and some Foreign currency cross rates, or currency pair trading.

All the while we will be working to bring you the new website.


Good Trading and God bless

W. B. Busin

Timing Market Turns 7 - 04/03/2006

Market Timing - posted at 1558 EST

Swing trade - 100% long positions; stop for all positions to SPX 1290.

Investor core - 100% long positions; stop for all positions to SPX 1290.



Gaps will not be ignored for too long will they. No worries, whipsaws are the common traders nightmare but not mine. I see elephants in the room with that size of an exchange aided opening gap.

If it closes today, all the better isn't it.


At 1558, the downward structure appears nearly complete. Tomorrow may finish the gap closing movement.


More later this afternoon.

Good Trading and God bless

W. B. Busin

Timing Market Turns 6 - 04/03/2006

Market Timing - posted at 1545 EST

Swing trade - 100% long positions; stop for all positions to SPX 1290.

Investor core - 100% long positions; stop for all positions to SPX 1290.


Time loci for the 15 minute timeframe have ascended higher and faster for today. I do find a 5 minute locus at 1435 which aligns with a 15 minute locus at 1445 EST.
I expect the first to be a low and the second to be a high as the upward move continues today.



The structure and volume requires more time and more downward or lateral action in price at 1445 EST. We suspect it will be mostly downward. Remember - tops are formed during distribution of stock from the hands of smart money to the hands of less smart money.



Gaps will not be ignored for too long will they. No worries, whipsaws are the common traders nightmare but not mine. I see elephants in the room with that size of an exchange aided opening gap.

If it closes today, all the better isn't it.


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More after 1530 EST.

Good Trading and God bless

W. B. Busin